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Population change in breeding boreal waterbirds in a 25‐year perspective: what characterises winners and losers?
Elmberg, Johan
Kristianstad University, Faculty of Natural Science, Research environment Man & Biosphere Health (MABH). Kristianstad University, Faculty of Natural Science, Avdelningen för miljö- och biovetenskap.
ORCID iD:
0000-0003-2337-4155
Arzel, Celine
Finland.
Gunnarsson, Gunnar
Kristianstad University, Faculty of Natural Science, Research environment Man & Biosphere Health (MABH). Kristianstad University, Faculty of Natural Science, Avdelningen för miljö- och biovetenskap.
ORCID iD:
0000-0003-2345-3953
Holopainen, Sari
Finland.
Nummi, Petri
Finland.
Pöysä, Hannu
Finland.
Sjöberg, Kjell
Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences.
Show others and affiliations
2019 (English)
In:
Freshwater Biology, ISSN 0046-5070, E-ISSN 1365-2427, Vol. 65, no 2, p. 167-177
Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]
Understanding drivers of variation and trends in biodiversity change is a general scientific challenge, but also crucial for conservation and management. Previous research shows that patterns of increase and decrease are not always consistent at different spatial scales, calling for approaches combining the latter. We here explore the idea that functional traits of species may help explaining divergent population trends.
Complementing a previous community level study, we here analyse data about breeding waterbirds on 58 wetlands in boreal Fennoscandia, covering gradients in latitude as well as trophic status. We used linear mixed models to address how change in local abundance over 25 years in 25 waterbird species are associated with life history traits, diet, distribution, breeding phenology, and habitat affinity.
Mean abundance increased in 10 species from 1990/1991 to 2016, whereas it decreased in 15 species. Local population increases were associated with species that are early breeders and have small clutches, an affinity for luxurious wetlands, an herbivorous diet, and a wide breeding range rather than a southern distribution. Local decreases, by contrast, were associated with species having large clutches and invertivorous diet, as well as being late breeders and less confined to luxurious wetlands. The three species occurring on the highest number of wetlands all decreased in mean abundance.
The fact that early breeders have done better than late fits well with previous research about adaptability to climate change, that is, response to earlier springs. We found only limited support for the idea that life history traits are good predictors of wetland level population change. Instead, diet turned out to be a strong candidate for an important driver of population change, as supported by a general decrease of invertivores and a concomitant increase of large herbivores.
In a wider perspective, future research needs to address whether population growth of large‐bodied aquatic herbivores affects abundance of co‐occurring invertivorous species, and if so, if this is due to habitat alteration, or to interference or exploitative competition.
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2019. Vol. 65, no 2, p. 167-177
National Category
Biological Sciences
Identifiers
URN:
urn:nbn:se:hkr:diva-20051
DOI:
10.1111/fwb.13411
ISI:
000505921100001
OAI: oai:DiVA.org:hkr-20051
DiVA, id:
diva2:1361389
Available from:
2019-10-16
Created:
2019-10-16
Last updated:
2020-01-24
Bibliographically approved
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Avdelningen för miljö- och biovetenskap
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